For four decades the United States used export controls to keep advanced technology out of adversary nations: semiconductors, software, military equipment flowing east under a system called COCOM. Now the same logic has flipped. A Chinese company is using American courts to push back against a technology shutdown aimed at it, and the U.S. government is on the receiving end of a legal fight it once would have controlled.
The FCC in December added all foreign-made drones to its Covered List, blocking new products from being marketed or imported into the U.S. DJI, the world's largest commercial drone manufacturer, is fighting the decision in the Ninth Circuit. Its April 15 opposition brief estimates the action will cost the company $1.56 billion in 2026 revenue: roughly $700 million from existing products that lost federal authorization to operate, and $860 million from 25 new products DJI says it cannot bring to American customers at all, according to DroneXL.
The underlying legal theory is not new. The Secure Networks Act requires the FCC to identify specific threats before restricting equipment. DJI says it spent more than a year trying to engage with the government, and was never given the chance to respond. The FCC has never publicly identified a specific national security threat associated with DJI products, as The Drone Girl reported in February. The company is not primarily arguing that its drones are safe. It is arguing that it was never told they were dangerous, which the Constitution, it contends, requires.
That due process argument is not frivolous. The FCC can restrict equipment based on national security concerns, but it cannot do so without giving the affected party notice and a chance to respond. Whether the Covered List process satisfies that requirement is a live question the Ninth Circuit will now have to answer.
Over 1,800 state and local law enforcement agencies operate drones, and more than 80 percent of them use DJI equipment, according to court filings. The FCC has approved a handful of domestic competitors to operate on first-responder frequencies, but those companies are still scaling production. For the agencies already in the field, there is no drop-in replacement. A department running DJI Mavic drones on search-and-rescue calls does not have an obvious domestic alternative waiting.
The commercial picture is similar. Nearly 97 percent of commercial drone operators in the U.S. use DJI products, and 43.4 percent said in an industry survey that losing access to new DJI drones would have a potentially business-ending impact on their operations, according to The Drone Girl. These are not hobbyists. They are surveyors, filmmakers, agricultural service providers, and infrastructure inspectors whose entire workflow is built around a platform that is now partially locked out of the U.S. market.
DJI filed its initial challenge in February. The government's position, in filings so far, is that national security determinations are not subject to the normal notice-and-comment process. The Justice Department has argued that revealing the basis for the decision would itself compromise intelligence sources. The case is being watched by trade lawyers and telecommunications specialists for how broadly the government can invoke national security to avoid administrative law requirements.
What happens next depends on how the Ninth Circuit rules on the due process question. If the court finds the process was inadequate, it could require the FCC to open a formal review period for DJI, which would delay any action for months. If it upholds the FCC's position, DJI's options narrow to a legislative fix or a negotiated settlement with the Commerce Department, which oversees the broader export control regime that covers drones. Neither outcome is imminent. The legal process is built to be slow.
The broader question the case exposes is whether the U.S. government's posture toward Chinese-made drones reflects a coherent strategy or a collection of overlapping restrictions that no single agency coordinates. The FCC restricted marketing and import. The Commerce Department controls export of certain components. The NDAA prohibits the Pentagon from buying DJI. These rules interact, but they were not designed together, and nobody has published a comprehensive analysis of what the full stack of restrictions actually means for the domestic drone ecosystem. DJI's $1.56 billion estimate is the company's own math. Nobody in the U.S. government has published a competing figure.